The Greater Toronto Area market has shown some cooling signs in early Q3, with home sales coming in around 6,000—down about 1% year-over-year after several months of gains. Month-over-month, activity actually picked up by roughly 3%. The average selling price hovered near $1 million, and the benchmark price for a typical home dropped nearly 5% compared to last year. That means buyers are still able to negotiate across much of the GTA. Looking at specific housing types, detached home sales rose about 1% year-over-year, but semi-detached, townhouses, and condo apartments saw either slight declines or remained flat. One of the more notable shifts is on the supply side: new listings fell to approximately 14,500, a decrease of 18% from last year, and active listings dropped 12% to about 26,100. With fewer new options hitting the market, and sales taking up a greater share of what's available, we could see less room for negotiation as inventory tightens—potentially setting the stage for more balanced conditions if confidence returns. Having spent over a decade helping buyers and sellers navigate the GTA market, I know how quickly these shifts can affect your next move. Staying informed makes all the difference.
Category: Latest Posts
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Some of the hottest real estate markets in the Greater Toronto Area
Navigating the evolving real estate landscape in the Greater Toronto Area is always dynamic, and recent numbers tell an interesting story. Prices have decreased by 4.5% year-over-year, now averaging around $1 million. Sales are down 6.8%, with active listings dropping 22.3% and new listings declining by 17.3%. Even with less inventory on the market, homes are selling faster—indicating buyers are moving quickly, often shifting their attention to the outer municipalities. With my deep experience and focus on the GTA, I know how crucial it is to understand these shifts, whether you’re preparing to sell or searching for the right home. My approach is always tailored to help clients navigate market changes with confidence and achieve their goals—no matter how challenging the conditions.
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Toronto Starts Fall Short of Target
Toronto housing starts ↓10% yearly versus the previous year, a clear sign construction activity moderated in the city's larger urban market during current tracking.
Toronto was tracking 37 building permits tied to 6.6K condominium apartment units where construction had not yet begun in the current pipeline.
The agency said some pending projects could still move forward, because related pre-sales likely happened much earlier than the current reduction in sales activity.
Housing-start data can lag current conditions, because large Toronto projects move through planning and pre-sale phases, permit issuance, then actual construction before starts appear.
That means Toronto's current starts may understate real-time activity, and some permitted condo units could still break ground as the pending pipeline advances. -
Happy Labour Day!
Labour Day in Canada marks a well-earned break celebrating workers and the unofficial end of summer, when everyone suddenly remembers all the things they meant to do in August.
It’s the last big excuse for barbecues, lake trips, and squeezing in one more summer adventure before routines and school schedules take over again.
Stores and sidewalks feel a little calmer, while patios and parks get their final big rush of summer energy and “just one more weekend” vibes.
Happy Labour Day! Wishing you a relaxed, fun-filled long weekend with good food, no alarms, and maximum enjoyment before fall shows up uninvited. -
Falling home prices drive record 10th straight quarter of affordability gains
For the 10th quarter in a row, we’ve seen home affordability improve as falling prices have helped offset the pressure from rising mortgage rates. Right now, payments are at 51.1% of median income—a key figure for both buyers and sellers to keep in mind. While Vancouver continues to be Canada’s least affordable market, future improvements will depend on income growth and keeping price increases in check. With over a decade of experience in the GTA, I’ve guided clients through many market cycles, always focused on maximizing value and providing clear, strategic advice. Whether you’re looking to buy or sell, understanding these trends is essential for making confident decisions in the current landscape.
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HST rebate continues to boost sales of new single-family homes in GTA but condo segment remains sluggish: report
New home sales in Ontario surged 130% year-over-year in Q2 2026, reaching 8,410 sales, driven by an enhanced HST rebate offering up to $130,000 to buyers. This boost helped protect 17,300 construction jobs, preserve $2.8 billion in GDP, and maintain $1.4 billion in government revenues. Most sales were single-family homes, while condo sales remained below the 10-year average. Further economic gains are expected from upcoming cost reductions for builders.
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POV: You’re House Hunting In Toronto—Here’s The Catch
CMHC expects Toronto sales to increase in 2026, even while prices remain below recent peaks.
Here’s the overlooked part: today’s abundant inventory could give patient buyers more choice and negotiating room.
Royal LePage expects GTA prices to decline 2% by Q4 2026, while activity continues building.
The bigger opportunity may be buying when competition is quiet—not perfectly predicting the market’s bottom. -
Toronto Buyers Enjoy More Negotiating Power in Home Market
Toronto area homebuyers are increasingly negotiating below asking prices as market conditions shift from a seller's market to a more balanced one. In July, 78.1% of homes sold below asking, with a median discount of 2.8%. Higher-priced homes saw larger discounts, with 86.4% selling below asking. Buyers now have more leverage due to greater inventory and choice, though signs show this advantage may lessen if listings decline. Realistic pricing and market responsiveness are key for sellers.
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Toronto Affordability Gains in Q2 2026
In Late-Q2 2026, Toronto saw one of the strongest affordability gains as falling home prices, not easier financing, became the main driver.
Toronto recorded a ~2.5-point affordability improvement after its representative home price fell ~4% during the quarter, leaving the payment-to-income ratio near 68%.
In Toronto, the shift from rate-driven to price-driven gains was especially clear, highlighting how softer prices recently improved buying conditions more than mortgage rates.
For Toronto buyers, mortgage rates were not expected to deliver much additional relief over the next year, making other affordability supports increasingly important.
In Toronto, further affordability improvement increasingly depended on income growth and restrained home-price appreciation, as financing costs were no longer expected to help. -
Neighbourhoods where homes are selling for over asking in the Greater Toronto Area
It’s interesting to see how quickly the GTA real estate landscape can shift. In July, just 3% of Greater Toronto Area neighborhoods had homes selling over asking price—a notable drop from June’s 6%. Most areas are now experiencing underbidding, with overbidding activity moving toward more budget-friendly communities like Richmond Hill and Markham. After more than a decade helping clients navigate the ups and downs of our market, I know how important it is to monitor these trends closely. Whether you’re preparing to sell or looking for your next home, understanding where buyers are still competing above asking can mean the difference between a good result and a great one. My goal is always to put my market knowledge and negotiation experience to work for you, ensuring each move is the right one.
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